If you are someone that plays and enjoys online poker, but are not a poker expert you may have heard the term variance but may not know what it is.
If you want to become serious at playing online poker or other togel sgp games in general, however, understanding your own variance is a good way of doing it.
What is variance? — Much easier to understand than it may first seem, variance is simply the difference between how much money you are winning at the moment, and what you expect to win over a longer period of time dependent on that win rate.
That means, if you are currently winning $100 a week so expect to win $400 a month, if you win $250 or $900 that is attributed to variance.
What causes variance? — In most cases, it is luck over the short term and skill over the long term. Simply put, luck determines the cards you are dealt but skill determines how you play them. The longer you play online poker, the better you become.
What will influence your own variance the most? — There are several factors, but it usually boils down to three things.
The first is how aggressive you are when you play. More aggressive players take more chances, so tend to lose more often.
The second is the type of poker game you play. Omaha is known for having less variance than Texas Hold ‘Em, for instance.
The third factor is the amount of money you are allowed to risk. The higher the amount, the more variance you will experience.
How to calculate your own variance — You will need to know your win rate and your standard deviation. The latter you can calculate on any website offering a standard deviation calculator.
Find a site that also has a poker variance simulator, and enter those two numbers. The resultant chart is what you can expect if you continue to play online poker with the same skills and in the same way.
